Freeze ratings

I began receiving e-mails two weeks ago from Geoff Freeze, an Albuquerque resident who has developed a ratings formula for boys and girls teams in each class. He has submitted his ratings projections for the first round of the state tournament for all five classes.
Enjoy.

Possible Upsets - highlighted in yellow

Expected Upsets - highlighted in red

Home team in CAPS

Boys

Class AAAAA

No. 1 MANZANO - 16 Cibola +23

2 GALLUP - 15 Santa Fe +15

3 HIGHLAND - 14 Sandia +16

4 LA CUEVA - 13 Rio Rancho + 2

5 CLOVIS - 12 Alamogordo + 9

6 VALLEY - 11 Oñate + 4

7 LAS CRUCES - 10 Rio Grande + 6

8 HOBBS - 9 Eldorado + 6

Class AAAA

1 ESPANOLA VALLEY - 16 Santa Teresa +14

2 DEMING - 15 Roswell Goddard +18

3 ROSWELL - 14 Del Norte +14

4 ARTESIA - 13 Silver +6

5 Los Alamos -12 FARMINGTON +11

6 Alb. Academy - 11 GRANTS +13

7 BELEN - 10 Capital + 1

8 ST. PIUS - 9 Bernalillo + 6

Class AAA

1 HOPE CHRISTIAN - 16 Dexter +37

2 ST. MICHAEL'S - 15 Newcomb +27

3 PORTALES - 14 Crownpoint +26

4 SANDIA PREP - 13 Hatch Valley +17

5 WINGATE - 12 West Las Vegas - 3

6 Bloomfield - 11 SOCORRO - 7

7 POJOAQUE - 10 Ruidoso +10

8 LOVINGTON - 9 Santa Fe Indian - 6

Class AA

SANTA ROSA - Jal +31

MESILLA VALLEY - Estancia +31

Texico- HAGERMAN +13

MESA VISTA - Mora +16

BOSQUE SCHOOL - Tularosa + 1

REHOBOTH - Escalante +14

Peñasco - PECOS + 1

CORONADO - Navajo Pine + 5

Class A

CLIFF - Valley Christian +30

SPRINGER - Santa Fe Waldorf +47

DORA - Clovis Christian +21

Fort Sumner - LOGAN +13

Reserve - TATUM + 4

Ded Moines - EVANGEL CHRISTIAN +27

Gallup Cathloic - CARRIZOZO + 6

TEMPLE BAPTIST - Mountainair +13