Feb 21, 2011

So from one bit of insanity to another ...

After watching perhaps the most entertaining state wrestling tournament I've ever witness - and I never would have believed Robertson could lose with so much at stake - I catch up on the craziness of the last weekend of the regular season for basketball.
Capital needs a buzzer-beater to get past Santa Fe High?
Hope Christian does the same to St. Michael's?
Bernalillo can't save its season, but it beat Espanola Valley?
Valencia beat Gallup?
What to do, what to do ..

Well I gave the AAAA update - and I will again, but this time, it's AAA's turn for the update.
Let's get this ball rolling ...

AAA seedings
1. Hope Christian (23-3). Even with a loss to St. Michael's, the Huskies were going to be No. 1. They are undefeated against AAA teams and with the rest of the class feasting upon itself, the gap between 1 and 2 is far. So book them in this spot on Sunday.

And for the rest ...
This is the circular logic here. St. Michael's almost beat Hope, but they lost to Taos, who lost twice to Robertson, who lost to Socorro, who lost to Silver, who lost to West Las Vegas, who lost to Wingate, who lost to ... Yes, you guessed it, the Horsemen. So who goes where? well, I've talked about finishing strong being a good indicator, and the team finishing best is ...

2. Las Vegas Robertson (19-6). The Cardinals went undefeated in district play, and beat Taos twice in the process. They are on a 12-game winning streak - although four of those wins are against AA schools Tucumcari twice, Mora and Santa Rosa - and are the the hottest team outside of Hope. Because everyone else was busy losing their graps on his spot, Robertson quietly moved up.
3. Wingate (24-2). The Bears are in a one-game playoff with Shiprock, and the significance of that is that a win will solidify this spot. A loss could drop them a couple of spots. They rebounded well after the loss to Shiprock, but they need to show they can beat the Chieftains.
4. Socorro (16-8). The Warriors did their part by beating Silver in a one-game playoff Monday. They have a chance to move up with a Wingate loss tonight.
5. Taos (16-8). The Tigers went 7-2 over their final nine games, with wins over St. Michael's and Portales and two close losses to the Cardinals. That win over St. Michael's is key because ... .
6. St. Michael's (16-10). Everything was going fine until that loss to Pojoaque Valley, which started a 2-4 slide to end the year. If finishing strong is key to a high seed, a weak one can do the opposite. Welcome to Exhibit A.
7. Portales (16-8). The Rams dropped like a rock with a double-digit loss to Lovington. They are 6-3 against AAA competition, and finished 8-2 over the last 10 games of the season. Close losses to Taos and Robertson also help, but that loss to Lovington ... Yikes!
8. Sandia Prep (17-9). The Sundevils came into the district season as the likely challenger to Hope Christian in AAA, but they learned a thing or two about playing against former 2AAA schools St. Michael's, Pojoaque Valley and SFIS. They staggered to third place, unable to beat either the Huskies or the Horsemen.
9. Silver (14-11). The Colts are trending upward in the seedings because they are 9-3 over the last 12 games. Even with the loss to Socorro in the playoff game, they won't drop. In fact, they are a team that might be static as far as movement from here on out.
10. Shiprock (14-13). The Chieftains are 10-2 after a 4-11 start, and that includes a win over the Bears, which helped improve their resume. Another win could move them to a nine, but the top eight have done too much for Shiprock to move up any further.
11. Lovington (13-11). Their 3-1 mark in the district accounts for all of the Wildcats' AAA games. The win over Portales was huge, as was the November win over Goddard.
12. Pojoaque Valley (13-12). The Elks couldn't get much mileage out of finally beating the Horsemen. That is coupled with a 2-6 5AAA mark and a loss to a fast-fading SFIS.
13. Ruidoso (10-14). The Warriors might be 0-3 in 4AAA, but they are 3-3 against the rest of the class, with a win over ...
14. Hatch Valley (11-14). Of course, the Tigers have a win over Ruidoso, but they were 1-2 against the 4AAA team. They were 5-5 vs. the rest of AAAA, but no other impressive wins.
15. SFIS (9-14). The Braves are in, based on a split with Robertson. But that 1-10 finish and a 3-9 mark against AAA is bad. VERY bad.
16. Zuni (10-12). The Thunderbirds are in by virtue of a 6-8 record against AAA compettition and a 5-5 mark in 1AAA. But they haven't beaten any one of significance. They're just better than the rest.

Outside looking in:
Crownpoint (9-12). The Eagles have a nondistrict win over Zuni, but lost to them in 1AAA play. They are 4-7 in AAA overall, but they beat Class A Ramah twice, split with AA Laguna Acoma, and beat AA Cuba and Newcomb. Yeah, that'll impress the committee.
Raton (7-16). The Tigers have beaten one AAA team - West Las Vegas.
West Las Vegas (5-19). The Dons have two wins and a split over Raton. Enough said.

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